Risk Register

Risk Register
Risk RefRisk ScoreTier of RiskDescription of RiskLikelihood ScoreLikelihood DescriptionImpact ScoreImpact DescriptionCurrent Direction of TravelOriginal Expected Date of De-escalationRevised Estimated date of De-escalationTreat or TolerateResponsible Officer
1 20 Corporate There is a risk that capital investment in schools under the Sustainable Communities for Learning Programme will not happen because of a lack of available funding. 5 Certain 4 Major Static Mar-24 Unknown Treat   Strategic Director for Children & Family Services
72 16 Corporate There is a risk that the Council fails to ensure that future generations living in Torfaen cannot benefit from biodiverse natural environment that supports their well-being. The successful delivery of the Climate and Nature Emergency Delivery Plan is dependent on new and emerging technology and measurement tools. Therefore, the current risk is our ability to fully understand the impact of our planned actions. 4 Almost certain 4 Major Static Annual Update Q1 2024/25   Treat   Strategic Director Economy & Environment
74 20 Corporate There is a risk that the Council fails to adequately support, lead and facilitate the Borough to become net zero carbon by 2050.  The successful delivery of the Climate and Nature Emergency Delivery Plan is dependent on new and emerging technology and measurement tools. Therefore, the current risk is our ability to fully understand the impact of our planned actions. 4 Almost certain 5 Critical Static Annual Update Q1 2024/25   Treat   Strategic Director Economy & Environment
81 16 Corporate There is a risk that the Council fails to deliver key property/asset management  projects/programmes due to a shortage of skilled and experienced staff resources 4 Almost certain 4 Major Static Ongoing Monitoring   Treat   Strategic Director Economy & Environment
109 25 Corporate There is a risk that the level of demand within specific cohorts of the Children Looked After System will have a continued, and potentially increasing, adverse financial impact within the service area, directorate and across Council.  5 Certain 5 Critical New Mar-26   Treat   Strategic Director for Children & Family Services
110 16 Corporate There is a risk that if recycling behaviour does not improve the 70% statutory recycling target (2025- 26) will not be achieved, resulting in potential fines from the Welsh Government.   4 Almost certain 4 Major New Apr-27   Treat   Strategic Director Economy & Environment
4 12 Directorate There is a risk that increasing numbers and complexity of referrals from the dependant adult population will have an adverse financial impact and place an increased strain on demand led (statutory) services creating inappropriate waiting times posing a threat to the independence, autonomy and outcomes of individuals in need of care and support. 3 Likely 4 Major Static Sep-24 Dec 24
March 25
March 26		 Treat   Strategic Director for Adults & Communities
8 10 Directorate There is a risk that the Council could fail to maintain continuity of service provision in its buildings due to resource constraints and the ageing nature of assets (including structure, plant and services). 2 Possible  5 Critical Static Ongoing Monitoring   Treat   Strategic Director Economy & Environment
11 10 Directorate There is a risk that the Council may become financially unsustainable if an appropriate corporate, service and medium-term financial plan is not agreed. 2 Possible  5 Critical Static Annual Review date Feb 26   Treat Strategic Director for Resources
14 12 Directorate There is a risk that the demand for quality / affordable homes and housing need will not be met if we are unable to increase supply. 4 Likely 3 Moderate Static Tolerate   Tolerate Strategic Director for Adults & Communities
49A 10 Directorate There is a risk to  health and safety from natural hazards on the publicly accessible site at the British. 2 Possible  5 Critical Static Tolerate   Tolerate Strategic Director Economy & Environment
49B 12 Directorate There is a risk that failure to complete the phase 1 works at the British could have a reputational and financial impact. 3 Likely 4 Major Static Jun-24 Mar-26 Treat   Strategic Director Economy & Environment
70 12 Directorate There is a risk that there could be movement of coal tips within Torfaen with the potential to damage property, assets or land. 3 Likely 4 Major Static To be reviewed once the Legislation is passed   Treat   Strategic Director Economy & Environment
73 12 Directorate There is a risk that the Council fails to become net carbon zero by 2030.  The successful delivery of the Climate and Nature Emergency Delivery Plan is dependent on new and emerging technology and measurement tools. Therefore, the current risk is our ability to fully understand the impact of our planned actions. 3 Likely 4 Major Static Annual Update Q1 2024/25   Treat   Strategic Director Economy & Environment
76 15 Directorate There is a risk that due to the changes in Welsh Government Homelessness policy “No One Left Out” there will be a significant rise in homelessness cases and an insufficient supply of temporary accommodation to those individuals owed a duty under the Housing Wales Act 2014. 5 Almost certain 3 Moderate Static Tolerate   Tolerate Strategic Director for Adults & Communities
87 9 Directorate There is a risk that the Council finds itself unable to let properties within its commercial portfolio due incremental changes in the MEES (Minimum Energy Efficiency Standards) regulations, resulting in a diminishing annual income stream and lower asset values over time. 3 Likely 3 Moderate Static Jul-24 Apr-25 Treat   Strategic Director Economy & Environment
89 9 Directorate There is a risk of our ability to deliver transformative activity and to become a more efficient Council will be hindered if we are not maximising the benefits of the digital tools available to us and helping our staff to embrace the tools we have available. 3 Likely 3 Moderate Decreasing Dec-24 March 2025
June 2025		 Treat   Strategic Director for Adults & Communities
95 9 Directorate There is a risk that schools will be unable to provide an effective and safe learning environment if there are inadequate and/or ineffective repair or maintenance of school buildings and/or sites. 3 Likely 3 Moderate Static Annual Review Date Q3 24/25 March 2025 then annual review at Q3 25/26 Treat   Strategic Director for Children & Family Services
97 9 Directorate There is a risk to health and safety of building users and staff due to ongoing uncertainty around building management arrangements at the Blaenavon Resource Centre 3 Likely 3 Moderate Static Apr-24 Aug 24
Dec 24
June 25		 Treat   Strategic Director for Adults & Communities
101 12 Directorate There is a risk that Torfaen will not be able to fulfil our statutory duty to safeguard our most vulnerable citizens if a replacement care management system is not in place when the WCCIS contract ends.  3 Likely 4 Major Static Unknown   Treat   Strategic Director for Children & Family Services
104 12 Directorate There is a risk that the needs of learners with Additional Learning Needs will not be fully met without changes to the breadth and quality of provision. 3 Likely 4 Major Static Mar-26   Treat   Strategic Director for Children & Family Services
12 3 Service  There is a risk that long term service delivery may be impeded without strategic workforce planning. 1 Rare 3 Moderate Static Risk to remain until all activities in the strategy are complete   Treat   Strategic Director for Resources
21 6 Service  There is a risk that without sufficient funding the condition of the council's highway network will continue to deteriorate. 3 Likely 2 Minor Decreasing Dec-24 March 25

Annual Review April each year		 Treat   Strategic Director Economy & Environment
28 4 Service  There is a risk that the Outstanding Universal Value (OUV) of the Blaenavon Industrial Landscape World Heritage Site (BILWHS) is endangered leading to the potential loss of World Heritage Site (WHS) status and reputational damage to the Council. 1 Rare 4 Major Static Tolerate   Tolerate Strategic Director Economy & Environment
30 6 Service  There is a risk that the council's finances will be adversely impacted as a result of overspending against corporate budget limits. 2 Possible  3 Moderate Static Ongoing   Treat Strategic Director for Resources
31 3 Service  There is a risk that the council will incur fines / possible removal of an element of its card payment facility if the Payment Card Industry Standards are not met. 1 Rare 3 Moderate Static Tolerate   Tolerate Strategic Director for Resources
32 6 Service  There is a risk that additional costs and /or a loss of productivity may be incurred if sickness absence is not managed effectively and the increase in absence relating to poor mental health is not addressed. 2 Possible  3 Moderate Static Tolerate   Tolerate Strategic Director for Resources
46 8 Service  There is a risk that local residential, nursing homes and domiciliary agencies will cease trading in the current market which will impact on the ability to commission appropriate support for vulnerable people. 2 Possible  4 Major Static Mar-25 Mar-26 Tolerate Strategic Director for Adults & Communities
47 4 Service  There is a risk that children who require early interventions will not receive support because children with higher needs are prioritised and capacity at a preventative level is reached. 2 Possible  2 Minor Static Tolerate   Tolerate Strategic Director for Children & Family Services
48 4 Service  There is a risk that poor information governance and management could have an adverse impact on the council’s finances and reputation and that we could fail to comply with Data Protection legislation. 1 Rare 4 Major Static Tolerate   Tolerate Strategic Director for Resources
54 3 Service  There is a risk of a weakened statutory local policy framework to determine planning applications / appeals after 31st March 2021 when the adopted Torfaen Local Development Plan reached its end date. 1 Rare 3 Moderate Decreasing Review Dec 2026   Treat   Strategic Director Economy & Environment
56 6 Service  There is a risk that the reduced availability of fostering and residential placements for children with complex needs will result in the use of unregulated placements which come at significant cost per placement and place the Local Authority in breach of the Care inspectorate Wales regulations.   2 Possible  3 Moderate Static Dec-24 Sep-25 Treat   Strategic Director for Children & Family Services
58 8 Service  There is a risk to people, property and the environment from falling trees and tree limbs caused by Ash Dieback, a fungal disease affecting Ash Trees (Fraxinus Excelsior). 2 Possible  4 Major Decreasing Mar-25 Oct-25 Treat   Strategic Director Economy & Environment
63 8 Service  There is a risk that Out of County Placements for children and young people with complex educational needs are becoming more frequent and more costly. 2 Possible  4 Major Static Tolerate   Tolerate Strategic Director for Children & Family Services
90 6 Service  There is a risk that ICT and Digital solutions are being procured which:
- Non compliant with required legislation or standards (e.g. accessibility, security, GDPR, Welsh Language, OR;
- Don’t meet business needs, OR;
- May not be required due to availability of existing solutions.		 2 Possible  3 Moderate Static Sep-25   Treat   Strategic Director for Resources
91 8 Service  There is a risk that continued and sustained attacks on the corporate network can significantly impact on the operational business of the Council and significant data loss as a consequence. 2 Possible  4 Major Static  The risk will always be present and we will treat accordingly    Treat   Strategic Director for Resources
98 8 Service  There is a risk that if attendance at school remains significantly below pre-pandemic levels the attainment and wellbeing of children will be negatively impacted. 2 Possible  4 Major Static Sep-25 Sep-26 Treat   Strategic Director for Children & Family Services
100 8 Service  There is a risk that the condition of the roof at Ty Coch bulking and baling facility could affect recycling processing at the site, affecting the Council’s recycling collection operations and recycling rate.   2 Possible  4 Major Decreasing Jun-24 March 25, then annually in March thereafter Treat   Strategic Director Economy & Environment
105 8 Service  There is a risk that that the disaster recovery and business continuity plans are ineffective without effective regular testing taking place 2 Possible  4 Major New Aug-25   Treat   Chief Operating Officer - SRS
106 5 Service  There is a risk that an increase in the number of freedom fighters/freeman of the land is putting a strain on the Councils resources including a financial implication in relation to our statutory duty to collect Council Tax and Business Rates. 5 Certain 1 Insignificant New Mar-26   Treat   Strategic Director for Resources
107 8 Service  There is a risk that by not having Business Continuity Management processes fully embedded in the organisation, we may be unable to minimise disruption and restore the organisation’s critical services within 5 days should an incident occur. 2 Possible  4 Major New Apr-26   Treat   Chief Executive
108 6 Service  There is a risk that increased numbers of vexatious complainants and residents behaving unacceptably towards Council officers, will erode staff capacity preventing them from carrying out business as usual tasks and have a detrimental impact on the well-being of those affected, combining to have a negative impact on service delivery. 3 Likely 2 Minor New Mar-26   Treat   Strategic Director for Resources

 

* Treat - To reduce the risk to an acceptable level by taking mitigating action(s)
* Tolerate - The Council may tolerate a risk where the risk cannot be mitigated cost effectively or is effectively mitigated by internal controls even if it remains high

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